Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis of Amanda Knox: #7 “Look into my eyes…they’re not objective evidence”

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“I was angry.”

“I was angry…thinking about what Meredith must have been through.”

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“I think everyone’s reaction to something horrible is different.” She’s right!

Why is it that when her housemate was murdered, Knox forgot to feel afraid. A murderer was on the loose and she wanted to carry on studying as if nothing had happened. Why?

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“I did a split [in the police station, while Sollecito was being interrogated as a murder suspect]. It felt good to know I still could…”

What happened to the exhausting and abusive 53 hour police interrogation?

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“The lead investigator had doubts about Knox from the start…”

Oh, weren’t they justified?

In the Jodi Arias case friends of Travis told the detective to look into Jodi Arias.

Oh, weren’t they justified?

In the Chris Watts case friends of Shan’ann told the detective to look at Watts’ phone; to check the well site…

Oh, weren’t they justified?

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“Her behavior was completely inexplicable…”

Not quite. Not so fast…

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“Quirky people aren’t criminals…”

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“The Amanda Knox story deserves retelling because it happens all the time…?

Oh really? When last were you randomly accused of murder, and then you went on to make a killing, earning a $4 million jackpot deal for your story about how you – and your boyfriend [who got $1 million for his book] – were falsely accused.

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“There is no trace of me in the room where Meredith was murdered…”

All things being equal, if you were perfectly innocent, wouldn’t you have noticed Meredith had gone silent early on, tried to get hold of her and found a way to break down her door? Why is it that there isn’t a trace of you? Why is it that you were there that morning – you admitted you were – and yet there’s no evidence of you?

“There is no trace of me in the room where Meredith was murdered…”

No, just on the murder weapon, and did you forget your reading lamp on the bloodstained floor of Meredith’s bedroom? And why would a trace of your boyfriend’s DNA be on Meredith’s bra if you weren’t in the room? And how come Meredith’s bra was cut, and Meredith stabbed, and your boyfriend was a knife freak, he was carrying a knife in his pocket on the night he was arrested. If there was no trace of you, but Meredith was assaulted – including a sexual assault – why is there this fantasy rape story where a brother directs his brother to commit a rape? Why are there psychological traces of you within the scene?

“You’re trying to find the answer in my eyes…”


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Coming Soon [in July 2020] the first “MAJOR ACCOUNT” of the Chris Watts case

Hold your horses. Stop the press. Everyone on YouTube STOP. The professional is here. Well, almost. He’ll be here in about a year. Until the New York Bestselling author’s book The Perfect Father comes out, none of the research, blogs or books that have come before matter. CrimeRocket probably doesn’t matter either. Nothing matters. This does. Because when John Glatt’s book comes out we’re going to get a proper true crime narrative for the first time.


We know because in the description of Glatt’s book [which is already on Amazon], he describes his book as the “first major account” of the crime. The first major account two years after the fact…? Well, I guess that’s still normal timing, normal pace for the proper print publishing industry.

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Shall we wait, hold all coverage of the Watts case, until the most credible figure has his say?

Thus far it appears [from the description at least] that Glatt seems to buy into Watts swinging both ways. What else does he mean by “sexual ambivalence”? If Glatt does go down that windy path – good luck.

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Glatt also suggests when Watts made his first confession he admitted to smothering his daughters. Oh dear, that part’s not right either.

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And his confession didn’t happen less than 24 hours after his plea to media. He confessed at around 16:00 to part of the crime on Wednesday afternoon, August 14th. The media visited Watts’ home on Tuesday morning to record his Sermon on the Porch.

Getting the “True Story” of Chris Watts might turn out to be a lot harder than it seems.

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Bella’s Last Words suggest the Watts Children WEREN’T Smothered at the Well Site

In TWO FACE ANNIHILATION, I analyzed and interrogated the notion of “Bella’s Last Words”. That was the headline act of the Second Confession, and the headline Dr. Phil ran with.

  1. Serious incongruity in the semantics [Bella’s Last Words] – why didn’t the FBI, CBI or the media pick up on this inconsistency?
  2. Intertextuality versus circular reasoning – he’s using the video to prove the children were still alive, and the video supposedly corroborates what he says. And he brings it up as supporting evidence. Interestingly, the agent, when questioned on this admits, “It’s hard to see.” But reading between the lines he doesn’t sound convinced. And just like the First Confession, Coder gets this Confession by leading Watts through it.
  3. How does True Crime Rocket Science interpret the data – what happens when we interrogate the cloud of semantics, given the extensive case file, and given what we know about the Silver Fox?

There is a psychological mirror in Nut Gate. So when Watts sounds emotional about Bella saying:

“Is the same thing going to happen to me as Ceecee?” This is something Bella repeatedly said, but not at the well site, and not about smothering. About dying in her sleep because of an allergic reaction. Remember, they were sickly children, and Shan’ann’s meltdown over Nut Gate didn’t happen over a single day – it was still stewing during Bella’s birthday, it was still boiling over when Watts was in North Carolina and he wanted to go see his parents. And most crucial of all, we know from the babysitter – McKenna – that as late August 11th, the last day and night of her life, Bella expressed her concern about Ceecee. She said she was worried if she went to sleep, when she woke up Ceecee might not wake up. And this concern for Ceecee naturally affected Bella herself.

“Is the same thing going to happen to me as Ceecee?”

Could the same thing happen to me as Ceecee?

There’s also the criminal psychology aspect. Just as the disposal of the children’s bodies was duplicated, one little body in one tank, another in another tank, it’s also very likely the way they were killed was the same. And it’s for this reason that the irony rings in Watts’ mind, of his own child asking…

“Is the same thing going to happen to me as Ceecee?”

Because in a premeditated scenario, when Bella asked these words, Watts – in his mind – knew what he was going to do, and he knew the answer was yes. And it’s for this reason, when Coder asked him what he answered when Bella asked what’s going to happen to me, Watts claims he can’t remember. But notice the words he uses.

“I don’t remember…if I said yes, like a horrible person…”

Because it would take an especially horrible person to say that in his mind, meanwhile pretending that everything was going to be okay, when it wasn’t.

And hence the scenario he sketches of taking the kids, alive, to the well site, is the same sly scheming as the premeditated murder itself. It’s subtly allowing people to believe what they want to believe, meanwhile in the background the Silver Fox is smiling a cunning smile in his heart of hearts. You may say he’s a bad liar, but he’s fooled the media and he’s fooled most of the armchair detectives who consider themselves experts on what really happened.

There’s a reason Chris Watts can’t remember Bella’s Last Words

In the next episode I’ll be dealing with first my response to the original Dr. Phil show dealing with Bella’s Last Words, as well as what I stated then, in early March, was the original theory of True Crime Rocket Science. This analysis is explicated in rigorous detail in the 7th book in the TWO FACE series – ANNIHILATION.

Dr. Phil Reveals Paternity of Niko Lee Watts in Emotional Show with Shan’ann’s Parents and Brother + TCRS Revisits Original Theories

“Chris Watts has an IQ of 140 – he’s almost a genius”

According to Chris Watts – he’s a genius. During the Second Confession, when asked how he was doing mentally his IQ came up. 135 or 140. Which is it?

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I know my IQ, and according to the graph below it’s higher than way more than 80% of the people out there. If Watts is to be believed – and just those words ought to give us pause – then he’s in the elite 2.1% of the human race.

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Really? Is he?

In the SILVER FOX series I deal with this aspect in more detail.  We must be careful treating official reports or rumors of official reports as gospel. For example, we don’t know if the Autopsy Reports are complete or not. But one thing is clear – not a single image from the autopsy has been made available, which sets this case apart from virtually all other high profile cases. From JonBenet Ramsey to Scott Peterson, from the OJ Simpson case to the West Memphis Three, from Amanda Knox to Casey Anthony, the media have always been able to get hold of post mortem images and material. Not this time.

The irony with the Watts case is that most people seem to think he’s not only stupider than he really is [especially with regard to the execution of this crime], but a substantial number think he’s smarter than he really is.

“Chris Watts is the dumbest criminal ever…”

More Proof Chris Watts was a Lovesick Fool [Updated]

Would you have done better at Murder than Chris Watts did?

Chris Watts Family Homicides were far from a “Perfect Murder” – HERE’S what a perfectly executed murder looks like

Why did a very bad liar think he was a good one? Chris Watts and the Dunning-Kruger Effect

In the animal kingdom, a silver fox is a pretty clever, pretty crafty creature. In human terms, a SILVER FOX may be good looking, smart, or both. But I’m not going to deal with that sort of detail or analysis here except to break down one particular area – the finances.

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For a dude nicknamed Rain Man, Watts’ memory is supposed to be pretty sharp, right? And yet he doesn’t know Shan’ann’s username for the banking, or her password for her phone. He forgets the sheet at the grave site, and seemed to have no idea how the family finances got so out of whack, not just once, but twice.


The incredible thing – listening to the clip – is the moment they started falling behind in their mortgage payments – December 2017 – is the very same moment Shan’ann quit her job – officially at least – to stay home and sell Thrive full time.

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Did that decision turn their finances around?

Did that decision work?

Bear in mind after falling pregnant in late April/early May, Shan’ann then went to North Carolina for six weeks, ostensibly on a work trip. During this period her Live Videos, part of the bread and butter of Thrivers conducting their business on social media, declined to virtually zero.

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In the clip, Watts isn’t even sure if the bankruptcy was in 2015 or 2016. [The couple filed for bankruptcy protection in July 2015, for the record, and it appears the Rzuceks also filed in May of the same year.]


According to Watts, their financial problems started after their wedding. If this is true, then the couple’s finances were messed up from the beginning, and only got worse. That doesn’t say much for his ability to the run the numbers if they were wrecked from start to finish, does it? And this might also account for the incredibly daft decision – from both him and her – to have a third child given the crisis state of their finances. This aspect alone seems to show the extent to which he was delusional. Delusional about money, delusional about love, delusional about life and death.

And what about the Three Confessions – all contradictory in some way, all implausible in some way, and all reinforcing the notion of Watts as a dunce in some way.

In the First he forgets to perform CPR on his kids.

In the Second he doesn’t know why he’s taking his kids to the well site, then murders them seemingly at random, after “he just snapped” with Shan’ann. He repeatedly said he didn’t know what he was thinking.

In the Third Confession he bungles the murders of his children while his wife is in the house.

When Shan’ann accused him of having an affair, Watts slyly told her:

“You know that would never happen…like, you know the kind of guy I am.” This statement speaks volumes not only of his intelligence, but of how he believes he’s able to manipulate people.

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Perhaps the dumbest thing Watts did was sign a plea deal and throw the towel on his own defense. Now, a year later, it seems like he’s had a change of heart and is wondering if he might get out at some point.



Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis of Amanda Knox: #6 “The Foxy Knoxy nickname had nothing to do with sex”


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“She was twenty and beautiful, with high cheekbones and striking blue eyes.” Her nickname was “Foxy Knoxy”…

“In fact, the ‘Foxy Knoxy’ nickname had nothing to do with sex.”

Errr…are you sure about that?

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[Paraphrasing]: Grief – or lack of – has nothing to with guilt.

Nonchalance is often how the guilty try to project their innocence.

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“Amanda didn’t hug Sophie back…”

Why is she warm and cuddly to her boyfriend, but not to Sophie?

Why is she warm and cuddly to Meredith’s boyfriend, but not to Sophie, nor any of Meredith’s other friends?

Why did she hug Giacomo?Meredith’s boyfriend reveals the moment he suspected Foxy Knoxy had killed his lover – Evening Standard

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The couple…ignored Sophie…”

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It’s not a case of no emotion, it’s a case if inappropriate emotion.

Knox is indignant at the idea that Meredith didn’t suffer.

“They cut her throat…”

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“The Foxy Knoxy nickname had nothing to do with sex”

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Amanda Knox makes court room declaration of innocence – The Telegraph

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