Chris Watts will change his mind about pleading guilty. He’ll either do it over the weekend, or at the sentencing hearing on Monday, or he’ll lodge an appeal shortly after. How do we know he will? Because he’s changed his mind before.
He changed the time of the crime from waking up at 05:00 to waking up at 04:00, he changed the emotional conversation to one in which there were tears and rage, and he’s gone from shrugging off the murders initially as a missing person’s case, then accusing Shan’ann of killing the children and finally to confessing that it was him.
One could take it further, and show Watts’ ambivalence to his work as a mechanic, prompting him to ditch that line of work for the oil industry in January 2015. Probably he was ambivalent about Le-Vel and Thrive as well, just as he was about his marriage and the pregnancy in the final weeks. He was actively engaged in an affair [or affairs] while married, which provides the psychological DNA for a man capable of tolerating a contradiction and conflictedness in his life for an extended period, before taking decisive action. It’s also possible he is “ambivalent” sexually.
Chris Watts’ mother Cindy has just compared Bella Watts to her father, calling her [him] conservative, cautious and shy. This plea deal, this early, echoes all those traits.
Chris Watts is capable of dedicated resilience and resolve. He can put his head down, do what he’s told and do the right thing. He can be dutiful and diligent, but he’s also capable of throwing in the towel [and picking it up again] on his story. Whatever happens on Monday, this case is far from over.