True Crime Analysis, Breakthroughs, Insights & Discussions Hosted by Bestselling Author Nick van der Leek

Category: Chris Watts (Page 2 of 16)

Armchair Detective Solves the Case with a Huge Clue

In recent weeks Armchair Detective has been doing overtime trying to prove that Nichol Kessinger was at the Watts home. If shadows can have double [or triple, or quadruple] meanings, if alarms could be triggered by anyone, why not semantics too?

At around 19:28 Armchair Detective plays his hand. Are you ready?

https://youtu.be/pBK19gKmJcM?t=1173

It’s established here that when Chris Watts refers to Nickole Atkinson, he calls her “Nicole.” When he refers to his mistress, it’s “Nikki.” This is an incredible insight that changes everything!

Fullscreen capture 20200220 203459

Let’s look at this clip in context though, shall we?

The reporter is asking about Shan’ann’s friends calling frantically yesterday. Who else can it be except Nickole Atkinson? AD spells it “Nicole” which is not the right spelling for Nickole Atkinson or Nichol Kessinger, but two years later, why would anyone expect him to get silly details like that right?

And now the reveal – are you ready to have your socks blown off?

At 19:38 Armchair Detective edits in what appears to be a slip.

WATTS: When Nikki’s [snaps fingers] son…uh…tried to move the door around…when they were trying to get in the door, garage door-

The audio cuts abruptly at this point.

That couldn’t be a reference to “Nicole”, it just couldn’t be. Armchair Detective says this was a slip; it wasn’t Nikki’s son…it was NIKKI [snap snap snap]. He said “Nikki” so it’s a slip, right, he can ONLY be referring to Kessinger, right? Has he nailed it? Was it actually Nichol Kessinger who set off the Vivint alert on Sunday night, early Monday morning?

Uuhhhhhh…hold on…why does the discovery refer to exactly what Watts was saying to Coonrod when he stood beside Trinastich’s TV: that Nicolas and “Nicole” [Atkinson] set off the alarm…

Fullscreen capture 20200220 210209

Fullscreen capture 20200220 210036

So the alarm thing isn’t a slip.

How about the Nikki-thing? Was that a slip?

Shan’ann and her friends [like Cristina Meacham] often referred to their friend Nickole Atkinson as Nikki, including during the Live she did from the rooftop pool in late June 2018 when Nickole won her auto bonus.

Fullscreen capture 20200220 205051

47330895_163383321292899_3666667871359583704_n

There are also references by Chris Watts to Nickole Atkinson as Nikki while talking to Officer Lines:

Fullscreen capture 20200220 205357

And Nichol Kessinger referring to Watts referring to Nickole Atkinson as Nikki.

Fullscreen capture 20200220 205106

Fullscreen capture 20200220 205151

So let’s do a logic check. We saw Nicolas Atkinson on the scene for almost an hour, actively interfering. We saw Nickole’s car. Witnesses saw her. What were they doing there? Trying to get into the house over several hours. They were looking for someone they cared about. The interference was such that Watts called Nickole Atkinson [how did he know to call her, because he saw her on the ring doorbell camera] and told them to quit messing with his door – because that’s what they were doing. And because that’s when they set the alarm off, purposefully and deliberately.

Pick your reality:

This:

Or this?

Or did Nichol Kessinger really levitate to the scene and levitate out of it, for no reason, while she was on a phone call late on a Sunday night when her adulerer’s spouse was due to come. Her and her car unseen. And why would Watts who was super careful for weeks on end not to let Shan’ann know about the affair, allow alarms to go off when he was there? Would he like to alert Shan’ann, the neighborhood and leave digital traces on the security system for what he’s about to do, or would he like to not do that?


ALL NEW on Patreon: TWO FACE EPILOGUE [Book 9 in the TWO FACE series] available as an audiobook. First review of the intro and first chapter:

“I listened to this 3 times. It was that good.”

Fullscreen capture 20200219 214758-003


 

Debunk: Armchair Detective still trying to link Nichol Kessinger directly as an accessory to the triple murders of the Watts Family [UPDATE]

In a recent episode, a YouTube creator presents what appears to be a very elaborate and technical spreadsheet of timeline data. It appears, at face value, to be accurate.

https://youtu.be/uBVluxdPKno

During the episode, the creator and another party discuss evidence which they both agree would stand up in a court of law. The entire 66 minute spiel is predicated on a single moment at 22:52 when the Vivint sensor is activated.

Fullscreen capture 20200202 075913

This Vivint signal means, according to the creator and his fellow-commentator, that Nichol Kessinger entered the house. It’s also their hypothesis that Kessinger spent the night at the house, and left about half an hour after Watts did the following morning, making her an accessory to the entire crime as they see it.

It’s an interesting theory except at 23:20, 28 minutes after this alert, Watts and Kessinger were still talking on the phone. So were the couple standing together in his home talking to one another on the phone?

This Vivint alert, like the dodgy shadows story, is manufactured to have only a single explanation, and for this creator it’s always the same – it’s how Nichol Kessinger had to have been there, because she had to be an accessory to a triple murder.

While this creator seems very confident in his assessment, repeatedly asserting in this video that “law enforcement know this”, the title of the video shows he knows better than that too. He uses the words “seem to prove” and a question mark as a sort of disclaimer, and he never refers to Nichol Kessinger as Nichol Kessinger, but as NK, knowing that to do so would get him into a world of trouble. The content of the video says something else, however.

This is one of the most unambiguous episodes I’ve ever seen from this creator where he tries to link an innocent person to a crime, while emphasizing how unshakeably true and defensible his “evidence” is.

Of course, there could be numerous innocent explanations for the Vivint alert, one of them being letting the dog out, or letting some air in. Armchair Detective’s stock and trade is trying to figure out how innocent explanations may not be, and his audience, who are addicted to being titillated by this tabloid-style of one sensational claim after another, love it.

One aspect I found useful in the analysis of the timeline, was the router data showing Watts’ activity [as his phone or other device connects to the router] between 01:53 and 03:00 while Vivint shows no activity. While this doesn’t necessarily mean Watts himself was moving and thus the source of these connections, because devices make connections for a host of reasons as various apps automatically update etc., it does correspond to the TCRS theory that Watts never went to bed that night, and Shan’ann was murdered shortly after stepping in the door.

Another useful titbit was Shan’ann’s iWatch connecting to the router when Watts arrived home from the well site, suggesting he removed it prior to burial.

In general though, the confirmation bias in this particular video isn’t just alarming, it’s infuriating. Be careful, wherever you are, that your shadow doesn’t tear itself loose and get you into trouble.

Postscript: In the video below, at 19:50 the creator suggests – without naming names – that “some people might be friends with Nichol Kessinger…” This appears to be a slur to undermine arguments such as this one and others posted on CrimeRocket. A counterargument against a conspiracy isn’t valid, so their argument goes, not because it’s lunacy and illogical, but because of some relationship or agenda with Nichol Kessinger [in other words, it’s a conspiracy within a conspiracy]. Of course it was this site and via posts on Shakedown that first identified Kessinger to the world, before the mainstream media did or even Kessinger herself. Try to figure that one out.

According to REDDIT there’s now a conspiracy around me too. No surprises there.

Fullscreen capture 20200205 014322


Don’t believe everything you read on REDDIT, or believe what you hear on YouTube. I have a new book coming out this week on Chris Watts, and books take a lot of time to write, research and edit.

I’m constantly loading my own content onto Patreon and to some extent onto YouTube, so I really don’t have time or the inclination – or the pettiness – to set up or “be behind” so-called hate channels. That some are convinced I do says more, I think, about you and type of person you are.

The protocols of this site applies in this regard: argue the case, not with each other. When people get banned on my platforms it’s invariably because they can’t understand, and won’t abide by this simple premise .

argue the case, not with each other

If you argue, try to do it using the ordinary lexicon we have, without expletives, slurs, exclamation marks, all caps and all the rest. Try not to be about drama and triggering and reaction; try to think cooly and calmly for a change. Many can’t, won’t or do not want to do that, and I don’t want those sorts of people associated with TCRS.

Everyone who knows true crime knows how hard it is to keep the discussions clean and sensible.  When we do though, we learn knew things, and we can actually start to see through all the noise and find out something new. I set a high standard, and one I acknowledge puts most people off. CrimeRocket and TCRS isn’t meant for most people, it’s meant for a more educated, more disciplined and more discerning audience. People who read. People who think. People who’re able to spell and modulate their own behavior. People who are honest and care about the material.

If we’re here to talk about true cime, let’s talk about true crime, not about ourselves or someone else. Once we understand the case, sure, then we can reflect on how it impacts society or certain individuals, but typically that’s a very private and personal matter, and it’s different for everyone. Almost two years after the incident, we are – sadly – still very, very far from understanding this case, or ourselves, much better than before the Chris Watts case.

And so, as soon as true crime devolves into pundits bickering with each other, or about one another, it’s no longer true crime. It’s me-me-me, and it’s little more than a cynical popularity circus. When that happens the leading edge of what we come, and still can learn about these true crime cases floats out the window. It’s for this reason TCRS only reluctantly wades into conspiracies, not to attack those behind it, but to counter, debunk and fight for the authentic narrative. That has been and always will be the position of TCRS.


For the record, I agree 100% with Christina Randall’s position on Nichol Kessinger as communicated at 10:10 and here, at 10:57 in this video review of the latest TV coverage:


More:

Sinister Signals from the Router in the Watts Family Murders – and what it might mean

Understanding the Vivint Technology System installed at 2825 Saratoga Trail

13 Things *RIGHT* with the Chris Watts Lifetime Movie

It’s easy to know in hindsight, but infidelity lies at the heart of the Chris Watts case. While researching this case I wanted to see the instances, in particular the very first instances, where law enforcement asked Watts about infidelity. There are a few, but the first, captured on Coonrod’s body camera where he asks Watts whether his separation with Shan’ann is “civil” camera is perhaps the most significant.

I was pleased to see Lifetime dramatized it, even if the execution was poor.

1. “Did you guys have any kinda of issues…marital issues or…?”

It is interesting how the dramatization gets subtle aspects wrong. Nickole Atkinson isn’t around when Coonrod mentions this in reality, and I’m not sure if it’s fair to say she was unaware that the couple had marital issues. What is true is Watts was claiming the separation was more formalized, more established than it really was. Also, in the Lifetime movie the actor says quite assertively, “We’re separated.” Chris Watts puts a milder touch to it, stuttering, “We’re going through a separation.”

2. Sex with Nichol Kessinger

Although everyone is aware of it, and everyone seems to think they know this case inside out, it’s clear the five week period Watts and Kessinger together felt like a honeymoon for both of them. It’s because of the spark and electricity of these encounters that Watts was largely desperate to keep the new relationship viable. And since Watts was somewhat inexperienced with the opposite sex, one can imagine the spell being cast over him being much stronger as a result when he found himself in a position of a coworker pursuing him.

3. Shan’ann on social media but seen from the perspective of a third party.

4. Nut Gate.

Although not explictly referred to there is a scene where Shan’ann mentions not wanting their children to sleep at the Watts home.

Fullscreen capture 20200127 004442

5. Deeter Gate

This scene is slightly more explicit than Nut Gate.

One can see how both Nut Gate and Deeter Gate raised the pressure on Watts to find a solution to his marital dilemma.

6. Watts is depicted as not happily married.

7. Not dramatizing the driveway.

0_chris-watts

[Points 8 – 13 will be provided on Patreon].

Twitter Reaction to Chris Watts Confessions of a Killer

It’s challenging making a movie where so much is known, and not known, about a high-profile case. In the space of 90 minutes, what do prioritize? What do you leave out?

Below are a few highlights from what social media liked, and didn’t like, about the Lifetime Movie.

Chris Watts actor showing too much emotion.

The reenactment of Shan’ann arriving home is haunting.

Some found the incredible credible.

And the credible incredible.

Some were disappointed.

How Shan’ann was protrayed comes a few times.

The casting was hit and miss..

Several comments highlighted how the drammatization simply left them “feeling sad.”

What did you think? Where there any facts you missed, or you felt they got wrong? What aspect of the relational dynamics was accurate, or artificial?

Another YouTuber implicating Nichol Kessinger

At 14:34 in the clip below the creator says, “This is a decision I will leave in your hands.” A few seconds later she’s adamant that her channel is all about the facts. The video’s title image is WOW FINALLY PROOF.

Proof of what?

She never explicitly says it, but by comparing Nichol Kessinger walking in and out of the interrogation cubicle to the indistinct figure walking out onto the driveway, the creator is trying to “prove” that Nichol Kessinger was a physical accessory to the Watts Family Murders not after, but during the fact.

 

During the clip of Kessinger, the background music is ominous and hollow, like something from a horror movie.

It’s quite clever. Kessinger is wearing jeans and white shoes. In the first clip of the figure walking out, Chris Watts is also wearing jeans and what appear to be white sneakers. That seems to be enough “facts” for this creator. It doesn’t seem to matter how skinny Kessinger’s legs and butt are compared to the figure walking out. It doesn’t seem to matter that you never see Watts and “Kessinger” at the same time on the driveway, nor do you see her long hair.

The ruler “measuring” the length of the respective figures is even more ridiculous. In one image the figure is closer to the camera and the trees than the other, an obvious fact based on the changing angle of the roof of the vehicle in the foreground relative to the figure behind it.  One image is zoomed in slightly more than the other.

The same creator emphasizes the “ping” off a tower in Frederick at 06:16 [about 30 minutes after Watts left his home on Saratoga Trail] as absolute evidence of Kessinger being an accessory. She was there! A single ping 30 minutes too late on a tower that she passes on the way to work is more than sufficient evidence for this creator.

What this creator and others seem to miss, is if Kessinger was an accessory [and she wasn’t] then she had to be very committed to Chris Watts. She had to be so committed to the relationship, according to these crazies, she helped him commit triple murder. But then a day later she had zero commitment to him.

Why would she be committed enough to commit murder, but show absolutely no interest in trying to help cover it up, to protect him and herself? Didn’t she just murder out of love? Why does she call the cops? Why does she talk to them for hours? What does she come back, again and again, to talk to them?

For the most part, we don’t see Kessinger in tears. We don’t see her distraught over her boyfriend having been caught, or passionately trying to defend him. Instead she appears resigned and deflated, betrayed and embarrassed.

The creator referred to above also provides what she describes as “scientific advice” on how to use Thrive/Le-Vel, and shares her “My Thrive Experience.” She models herself wearing Thrive patches and refers to the spiel of women needing to be at their best for their families and children. Underneath her video she asks those interested to message her on Facebook so she can mail samples.

 

The reason the Thrive promos are relevant is it goes to the standards, and motives, of the creator when it comes to truth telling. MLM companies, their products and their promoters, are hardly credible. They’re notoriously tricksy and iffy on the facts. If you want to be educated by the facts on MLMs, watch John Oliver’s take on it which has been viewed almost 20 million times and liked more than 230 000 times.

But let’s get back to this creator trying to implicate Kessinger in a triple homicide.

Finding a single fragment and turning that into a scenario is dangerous.

In the Frazee case we know his mistress was an accessory because she admitted it, and so through the Frazee case we see an example of what that looks and feels like. Krystal Kenney made a plea deal, testified in court and Patrick Frazee was convicted as a result. Kenney still has to stand trial for tampering with evidence. Besides that there is a heck of a lot of evidence proving Kenney was not only with Frazee, but moving with Kelsey Berreth’s handset after her death. She was also present when Berreth’s body was burned. Kenney also destroyed other evidence of Berreth’s, and participated in staging messages to Berreth’s employer. Kenney never called the cops, and when the cops came knocking, she initially lied, then got a lawyer, then signed a plea deal, and she’s still facing charges.

The phone records between Frazee and his mistress show a huge uptick in texts and calls back and forth, and synchronised, movement right around the time of the murder. Kenney also made several trips alone to Berreth’s home. Kenney took off work to clean up the crime scene. CCTV footage also confirms where she was, and where Frazee was, at particular times. None of this is present in the Watts case.

The main difference between Kenney and Kessinger was the length of time Kenney had been involved with Frazee – about 12 years. In that time she fell pregnant with his child, had an abortion and left her husband to be with Frazee. In Kessinger’s case, none of that happened. In a relationship of less than six weeks, where Kessinger wasn’t even aware of the pregnancy, there wasn’t time to develop that kind of I-will-kill-for-you commitment. As soon as Kessinger found out Watts was a diabolical douchebag, which was virtually immediately, she dropped him and she’s never been in contact since.

But these YouTubers don’t care about that. They care about taking a fragment of information and weaving it into a single, titillating scenario, and calling that facts. These aren’t facts, they’re fuzzy images and fuzzy logic, just as MLMs and their dodgy potions and overpriced powders shouldn’t be trusted. Creators like this one, who simply won’t stop trying to implicate Nichol Kessinger as a murder accessory, ought to have the videos that do taken down, and if they persist prosecuted for malicious defamation.

HOHOHO! Two more TWO FACE books now available in Paperback

All in all there are now four books in the 9-Part TWO FACE series available in paperback. By early next year I’m hoping to have a TWO FACE box set available, and eventually another SILVER FOX box set comprising a complementary up-to-date trilogy.

Which book do you most want added to this list?

TWO FACE DRILLING THROUGH DISCOVERY

TWO FACE THE MYSTERIOUS MISTRESS AND THE CONFESSION

TWO FACE ANNIHILATION

TWO FACE OBLIVION

 


TWO FACE DRILLING THROUGH DISCOVERYTWO FACE THE MYSTERIOUS MISTRESS AND THE CONFESSIONtwo-face-annihilation.two face

Crime News – October/November 2019

19111888-7520985-image-m-9_1569854498702

NOVEMBER 2019

November 27th, 2019

1. Chris Watts owes parents of slain pregnant wife $6 million, judge rules – NBC

2. Kelsey Berreth Murder Suspect’s Secret Ex: He ‘Told Me to Take Care of the Problem’ – The Daily Beast

191106-melendez-bereth-trial-tease_jhuhuc

Patrick Frazee’s ex-mistress told investigators the murderer’s mother watched as he incinerated Kelsey Berreth’s body and blood-spattered evidence on their land in shocking footage – Daily Mail

3. JonBenét Ramsey photographer jailed on child porn charges in Oregon – Komo News

4. Dresden museum heist: police release dramatic CCTV footage of suspect – The Guardian

5. What actually happened to Vincent van Gogh’s ear? Here are 3 things you should know. – Berkeley Library News


November 24th, 2019

1. 48 Hours – CBS

Excellent documentary on the Kelsey Berreth case.

Kelsey Berreth murder: Crime scene evidence photos – CrimeRocket II

Krystal Kenney Crime Scene Walk-Through Videos – CrimeRocket II

2. Top prosecutor Billy Downer to try Jason Rohde’s ex-lover – IOL


November 21st, 2019

1. 22 Reasons why the AD/CC Version Makes No Sense – CrimeRocket II

Lifetime releases eerie photographs of the lookalike cast for movie about Chris Watts murders – Daily Mail

2. Woodland Park police chief speaks publicly about Kelsey Berreth case – KDVR

Remembrance candle vigil planned for Kelsey Berreth, remembered as ‘shining light’ – The Denver Channel


November 19th, 2019

1. Jury finds Patrick Frazee guilty in murder of fiancee Kelsey Berreth – The Gazette

– The Denver Channel

COMING SOON

Fullscreen capture 20191109 055525

2. Based on the CrimeRocket post:

“I want a drama-free life” – would Shan’ann Watts still be alive if she’d followed her own advice?

Meanwhile on the Armchair Detective YouTube Channel, plenty of drama about witches, witchcraft and the occult. Go grab your pitchforks!

Fullscreen capture 20191119 031054Fullscreen capture 20191119 031144Fullscreen capture 20191119 031148


November 14th, 2019

1. The 2nd video listed below seems to be addressed to TCRS. In other words, it’s a debunk of TCRS’ assessment of Watts’ criminal psychology. What do you think? Is she right?

https://youtu.be/rzA5lmpWV50

2. Patrick Frazee murder trial: Berreth’s coworkers describe her as quiet, sweet, loving to her newborn – The Denver Channel

Kelsey Berreth murder case: Trial testimony focuses on Patrick Frazee’s texts in months before alleged killing – The Denver Post

Forensics experts say blood evidence from townhome overwhelmingly matches Berreth – KOAA

TIMELINE Kelsey Berreth Case: What to Know About the Missing Colorado Mom Last Seen on Thanksgiving Day – Inside Edition

3. Amanda Knox and Lorena Bobbitt Reveal Friendship: ‘We Are Human Beings’ and ‘Have a Lot in Common’ – People

4. What the first public impeachment hearing tells us about the path forward – CNN


November 13th, 2019

1. Dr Oz Interview with Cherlyn Cadle: 5 Key Insights

True Crime Exclusive: The Chris Watts Letters: Why He Says His Family Would Still Be Alive If He Hadn’t Met His Mistress – CBS

Inside the Mistress’ Mind: Why Kessinger Googled “Expiration Date” on Condoms on 6/27/18

2. Patrick Frazee murder trial: Frazee’s friend testified he said Berreth was ‘never coming back’ – The Denver Channel

Kelsey Berreth murder case: Patrick Frazee told customer that Berreth was “never coming back,” according to testimony – Denver Post

“Oh, she’s never coming back!” – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 7

3. Free Giveaway:


November 11th, 2019

1. True Crime In Colorado: Promising New Lines of Inquiry into Nichol Kessinger – CrimeRocket II

ANNIHILATION, the most highly rated book in the TWO FACE series [4.2/5] is now available in paperback at this link.

TWO FACE ANNIHILATION.

Chris Watts: The slip in the Sermon on the Driveway that we all Missed

2. ‘I saw blood all over’: Patrick Frazee’s mistress brings more shocking testimony to murder trial – ABC

Kelsey Berreth murder case: Patrick Frazee defense attorney attempts to discredit key witness during cross examination – Denver Post

Kelsey Berreth murder case: Longtime friend of Patrick Frazee testifies about suspicious conversations he had after disappearance – Denver Post


November 10th, 2019

1. ‘Criminal Confessions’ Returns With Special Chris Watts Premiere – Oxygen

Dick Wolf’s Criminal Confessions Season 3 Premiere Takes on the Chris Watts Case – EOnline

2. ‘No body, no crime,’ Patrick Frazee said before fiancée vanished, friend testifies – NBC News

Woman says she cleaned mess after boyfriend beat fiancée to death – CBS

3. SPECIAL: Inside Colorado’s unsolved cold cases


November 9th, 2019

1. Chris Watts: the slip-of-the-tongue that we all Missed [ANALYSIS #2]

2. Cadaver Dogs and Krystal Kenney’s “I like to please” Personality – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 6

Patrick Frazee murder trial: ‘I figured out a way to kill her,’ friend testifies Frazee told him – The Denver Channel

Patrick Frazee murder trial: K-9 handlers say dogs hit on items tied to Kelsey Berreth’s killing – The Denver Channel

Patrick Frazee murder trial: Defense questions why Kenney never alerted anyone to murder plot – The Denver Channel

Patrick Frazee trial: Star witness stands ground under cross-examination, declaring, ‘It’s the truth’ – The Gazette

Fullscreen capture 20191108 200326


November 8th, 2019

Fullscreen capture 20191107 161503

1. Murderer’s Mistresses: Krystal Kenney versus Nichol Kessinger

2. Krystal Kenney Testifies about Where Kaylee was during Murder – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 5

Patrick Frazee’s mistress offers gory testimony during Kelsey Berreth murder trial – ABC

Patrick Frazee murder trial: Krystal Kenney recounts cleanup of Kelsey Berreth murder scene – The Denver Channel

Idaho nurse Krystal Lee takes the witness stand in Kelsey Berreth murder trial – 9News

NATIONAL NEWS: Girlfriend testifies at trial of man in death of his fiancee – WRAL

Patrick Frazee’s mistress reveals she became pregnant with his child – CrimeOnline

3. Is There a Link Between Sociopathy and Social Media? – Psychology Today

Why Social Media Is Turning Us All Into Sociopaths – Thought Catalog

Are We Really A Generation Of Sociopaths Who’ve Lost Any Sense Of Empathy? – Grazia Daily UK

Empathy_620x349


November 7th, 2019

1. Patrick Frazee murder trial: Krystal Kenney explains longtime relationship with Frazee, 2016 abortion – The Denver Channel

Narcissistic-Sociopath (1)

2. “Chris Watts is a sociopath” or “Chris Watts is a narcissistic sociopath” – No, he isn’t, but can you articulate why not?

3. Why the Joker is showing up in protests around the world – CNN

November 6th, 2019

1. Dr Phil: “If this could happen to this family it could happen to any family.”

TCRS Assessment: Somewhat true, but also not true. The Watts family wasn’t the average family in many respects. Serious crimes, on the other hand, aren’t the exclusive purview of sociopaths, monsters and narcissists. Ordinary people become murderers every day. It’s only once they’re murderers that they lose their status as “ordinary people”.

At 3:54 in the clip below Dr. Phil refers to coverage of the “Silver Fox”. He’s also referred to one not needing to a rocket scientist to see when Watts was lying.

https://youtu.be/a6BA6g-yU1U

2. Patrick Frazee ‘was TWO HOURS late to Thanksgiving dinner on the day his fiance disappeared’, the suspect’s cop brother testifies at his murder trial – Daily Mail

3. Financial Mess – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 3


November 5th, 2019

1. Defense Pokes Holes in Inconclusive Surveillance Footage – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 3 – CrimeRocket II

Patrick Frazee trial: Defense questions timeline, lack of black tote in surveillance photos – The Denver Channel

The Neighbor’s Video Surveillance – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 2

2. Kate and Gerry McCann’s message to the public after being given £300,000 to continue search for Madeleine – Chesire Live


November 4th, 2019

1. What does it actually look like when a murderer’s mistress is directly [or even indirectly] involved?

Kelsey’s Mother Cheryl Describes “Growing Panic” as days passed with no sign of her daughter – PATRICK FRAZEE TRIAL DAY 1 – CrimeRocket II

2. The latest Chris Watts conspiracy theory is about a mysterious red car pulling out of the neighbor’s driveway? Could it be an astonishing new twist, or could it be the neighbor’s own car pulling out on her way to gym? Or is the red car actually an alien space ship?

The image below was taken from Black Mesa road around the corner from the Watts home immediately prior to Watts arriving home at about 14:10 on Monday, August 13th, 2018. The conspiracy theorists want you to believe the red car was parked at or near the crime scene for 10 hours following the crime, and that it was somehow actively involved. The alternative? It was a neighborhood car parked on a neighborhood driveway belonging to someone who lives in the neighborhood.

But who wants to believe that when the alternative is so exciting? What if the car belonged to [fill in your preferred suspect]?

Fullscreen capture 20191105 002236


November 3rd, 2019

1. The Tenth Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts case

2. ‘Calculating Manipulator’ Patrick Frazee Murdered Kelsey Berreth With Help From Secret Girlfriend: Prosecutors – The Daily Beast


November 2nd, 2019

1. The Ninth Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

The Devil Beside Me: The Chris Watts Story – Art19

2. ‘Calculating Manipulator’ Patrick Frazee Murdered Kelsey Berreth With Help From Secret Girlfriend: Prosecutors – The Daily Beast


November 1st, 2019

1. The Eighth Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

2. Opening Statements To Begin Friday For Patrick Frazee In Kelsey Berreth’s Murder Trial – CBS Denver

Krystal Lee Kenney primed for key witness role in Patrick Frazee murder trial – The Denver Channel

3. Amanda Knox to pen advice column for Seattle newspaper – The Guardian

4. Nikolas Cruz PreTrial Hearing – Court Date set for January 27, 2020

Nikolas Cruz back in court for hearing


OCTOBER 2019

October 31st, 2019

1. The Seventh Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

2. A Colorado Man Allegedly Murdered His Missing Fiancée With a Baseball Bat. Now He Faces Trial. – The Daily Beast

3. Casey Anthony’s Father Is ‘Ready to Forgive Her’ After Caylee’s Death: ‘I’m Still Your Dad’ – People

EXCLUSIVE PREVIEW: ‘She was a good mom.’ Casey Anthony’s mother reveals she would be ‘happy’ if her estranged daughter decides to have another baby and maintains Caylee’s death was an ‘accident’ – Daily Mail


October 30th, 2019

1. What Are Family Annihilators? What Drove Chris Watts To Kill His Family? – Oxygen

TCRS Audio Analysis of this article coming soon.

The Sixth Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

What would be your #1 Soundtrack for a dramatic movie on the Chris Watts Case? – CrimeRocket II

2. Wife’s lover fined R11 million by a court for causing her divorce – W24

Jealous Brits using ‘stalkerware’ to spy on EVERYTHING their partners do – how to scan your phone today – The Sun

3. AfriForum to prosecute man who ‘falsely’ accused colleague of using k-word – TimesLive


October 29th, 2019

1. The Fifth Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

2. Why murder trial in case of missing Colorado mom may not be slam-dunk case – CBS News

3. Robert Durst Pretrial Hearing – CrimeRocket II

Fullscreen capture 20191029 215845

4. Vincent van Gogh Superstar – Arte TV


October 28th, 2019

1. The Fourth Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

2. Patrick Frazee’s trial in death of fiancée Kelsey Berreth expected to start Monday in Cripple Creek – The Denver Channel

Kelsey Berreth: Accused killer to start trial for missing fiancée’s murderKelsey Berreth: Accused killer to start trial for missing fiancée’s murder – Crime Online

3. Amanda Knox: “Don’t try to find the answer in my eyes” – Debunking Gladwell #7


October 25th, 2019

1. Just how big a deal were the finances in the Watts case?

2. True Crime: What Happened To Kelsey Berreth? Trial Begins For Her Fiancé Patrick Frazee – CBS Detroit

3. ‘I can’t breathe:’ Vietnamese woman’s text sparks fears she is among those who died in Essex truck container – CNN


October 24th, 2019

1. SILVER FOX, the first book in a brand new series, is available now exclusively on Amazon Kindle and Kindle Unlimited.

2. How Germany contributed to creating the Van Gogh myth – DW

maxresdefault (5)


October 23rd, 2019

1. Chris Watts Mindgames – Have you been Outfoxed?

Chris Watts: OXY And His Psychology

TCRS: Interesting that neither Scott Reisch nor Cadle were aware of the Oxy narrative by as late as October and March of this year respectively.

Chris Watts: Religion And Premeditated Plan?

Chris Watts – PreMeditation or Rage?

Remember this?

Scott Reisch: “I don’t think Shan’ann’s murder was premeditated…”

Coming Soon…

Fullscreen capture 20191004 164405

2. People Are Not Pleased with the Premise of a New Movie About Nicole Brown Simpson’s Murder – LA Mag

the-murder-of-nicole-brown-simpson-frank-edwards-fotos-international-getty-images-1068x716

3. The Psychology of an Incel

https://youtu.be/cWgc_4WyYew


October 22nd, 2019

1. The Biggest WTF Moment in the Chris Watts Case

Coming Soon [in July 2020] the first “MAJOR ACCOUNT” of the Chris Watts case

ABC’s Coverage of the Chris Watts case

2. Legally Speaking: Reversal in Jodi Arias case possible, but not likely -ktar.com


October 19th, 2019

1. TCRS Theory on Watts Family Murders [First Published on March 9, 2019]

2. #6: “The Foxy Knoxy nickname had nothing to do with sex” – Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis

20191019_061801.jpg


October 18th, 2019

1. Chris Watts Talks To News Reporters – EP1 The Devil Beside Me – Dr. Phil

The Watts Children Weren’t Smothered at the Well Site

“Nikki Was There!” – Debunked by TCRS

2. Judges grapple with misconduct claims in Jodi Arias case – WFXRtv.com


October 17th, 2019

Fullscreen capture 20191017 082438

1. Guest Post: “They know he’s guilty…[but] she’s out there telling people they STILL believe in his innocence” – Crime Rocket II

Video: More details from our interview with Chris Watts’ pen pal – Daily Mail

The Devil Beside Me: The Chris Watts Story – Husband, Father, Killer – Dr Phil

2. Sentencing procedures continue for convicted rapist Nicholas Ninow – News24


October 16th, 2019

1. Chris Watts is smarter – and dumber – than you think

“Chris Watts has an IQ of 140 – he’s almost a genius”

2. Twitter explains why it hasn’t suspended Trump’s account – CNN


October 14th, 2019

1. Chris & Shan’ann Watts – UNEQUALLY YOKED

Deeter Gate Tipped Chris Watts over the Edge


October 13th, 2019

1. Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis of Amanda Knox: #5 “Most of us aren’t very good at lie detection…”

2. 20 years ago today:

1999: In Boulder, Colo., the JonBenet Ramsey grand jury was dismissed after 13 months of work with prosecutors saying there wasn’t enough evidence to charge anyone in the 6-year-old beauty queen’s 1996 slaying.
Read The Craven Silence here.

October 12th, 2019

1. Chris Watts OBLIVION – Audio Excerpt of Book 8 read by the Author


October 10th, 2019

1. Guest Post: More Details on the Oxy in the Watts Home – CrimeRocket2

The Basement Spiel and Contraindications around Shan’ann’s Immitrex – Analysis

Chris Watts Reveals He Tried To Kill His Girls Before Murdering Wife, But They Survived – Moms.com

2. Justice for Kelsey: Murder trial for man accused of killing woman from Grant County set for Oct. 28 -iFiberOne

5d9f9fd574193.image

3. Take 2: A second look at the case against Casey Anthony – wesh.com


October 9th, 2019

1. Discovery Shows Another Attempt Chris Watts tried to cause a Miscarriage

2. Viewpoints: True Crime – a growing obsession or healthy fascination? – RealScreen


October 8th, 2019

1. Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis of Amanda Knox: #4 “Shockingly inept?”

2. Convicted Killer Jodi Arias May Get New Trial Due To Prosecutor Misconduct – The Daily Wire


October 7th, 2019

1. Scott Reisch Interviews Cheryln Cadle – CrimeRocket2

Auction of convicted murderer Christopher Watts’ Frederick home rescheduled for next year – Times-Call

The residence was initially scheduled to be auctioned off on April 17 over failure to pay principal and interest. However, that date was postponed to September 18, then October 23, and now, has again been moved to January 8….

2. Fake News Alert: Brendan Dassey Might Finally Be Getting Released From Prison After ‘Making A Murderer’ – ScreenGeek


October 6th, 2019

1. Shan’ann’s Oxy from the Basement Medicine Bin was used on Bella and Ceecee – TCRS

Coming Soon in October…

Fullscreen capture 20191004 164405

2. THE MURDER OF KELSEY BERRETH: WHAT DOES KRYSTAL LEE KNOW ABOUT THE COLORADO MOM’S KILLING? – CBS News

TEXT MESSAGES BETWEEN KELSEY BERRETH AND PATRICK FRAZEE – CBS News

3. Tourist takes ‘magical’ photo evoking Van Gogh’s ‘Starry Night’– FoxNews


October 5th, 2019

1. Where did Chris Watts get the Oxy from? Answer provided exclusively to CrimeRocket

2. Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis of Amanda Knox: #4 “The police investigation was shockingly inept…the prosecutor obsessive and wildly irresponsible.”

3. Colo. true crime authors featured on 20/20; husband and wife team look to provoke with their books – The Denver Channel


October 4th, 2019

1. Author of Letters From Christopher, Cheryln Cadle

2. Detective, Victim, Defender, Killer: Digging into the Female Obsession with True Crime – aetv


October 3rd, 2019

1. ‘I SQUEEZED HER JUGULAR’ Chris Watts writes horrific confession letter describing wife’s eyes filling with blood and having to smother daughters twice because they woke up – The Sun

Chris Watts’ haunting confession letter after murdering his wife and children – The Mirror

2. True crime fails when it treats trauma as entertainment – NBC News

Debunking Gladwell’s Analysis of Amanda Knox: #3 [Part 2]

3. ‘Joker’ Is a Risk, but a Calculated One, for Warner Bros. – New York Times

mcdjoke_wb020

merlin_161604510_afa98dba-69be-487a-8e06-2c4f64598311-superJumbo


EXCLUSIVE: ‘I remember her face getting all black with streaks of mascara.’ Chris Watts’ chilling letter confessing how he squeezed wife’s jugular – Daily Mail

Chris Watts – ANNIHILATION

2. Amber Guyger’s Texts Revealed In Sentencing

3. Sky Launches New Channel Dedicated To True Crime Documentaries – LadBible

11 Unbelievable True Crime Series Worth Streaming On Netflix – CinemaBlend


 

CBI Agent Tammy Lee on OXYGEN: “It’s worse than I thought so it must be true”

Fullscreen capture 20191207 162814

There’s a saying by Mark Tawin:

“A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes.”

Let’s face it, mindfuckery is a tricky subject. It’s tricky to talk about because what you’re trying to do is convince someone their cognitive wiring might be a little wonky. And if you don’t start off this argument just right, you’re liable to lose not your argument but the suspicion may arise that you – the guy fielding the argument – might be touched in the head.

I suppose, to make this argument effectively one has to start by acknowledging – GASP – the possibility that human beings in general sometimes [often, actually] make mistakes.

So let’s take Einstein. Did one of the smartest people who ever lived ever make a thinking error?

Have we made any mistakes in our thinking about Einstein?

How about Stephen Hawking?

Fullscreen capture 20191207 173911

And Bill Gates?Fullscreen capture 20191207 173849

The good news is when we acknowledge our mistakes, amazing things are allowed to happen. Take Steve Jobs:

Is it possible mistakes were made not just individually, but collectively in the Watts case? If so, what sort of thinking errors are we talking about? Well, here are a couple to choose from:

While a couple of these may apply, a handful look like they do.

Fullscreen capture 20191207 181347

Let’s deal briefly with just one before we deal with the statements in the documentary more specifically. It’s this one:

Fullscreen capture 20191207 181512

Essentially what the Appeal to Probability is saying is that because something is possible it’s probable. The law, for example, disagrees with that. In court something has to be probable, and reasonably probable absent other more or less probable possibilities, for it to be judged true.

Fullscreen capture 20191207 181522

There are many instances where things are possible – anything, theoretically is possible. But it’s this area that explains tricky, troubling and ongoing debates around, for example, did the world evolve or did God create it? Which is possible? Which is probable? Is climate change manmade or is it a myth? Which is possible? Which is probable?

There are many, many areas we can go into, and figuring out truth from fallacy using logic is both a fascinating and very in-depth area of cognitive psychology. A lot of true crime deals with our perceptions, and what we perceive. We won’t go into that here, but it’s a subject TCRS has covered at length in the past, and will continue to expose in SILVER FOX POST TRUTH, the final book in the SILVER FOX trilogy.

Fullscreen capture 20191023 131243

Now let’s deal with the documentary.

Fullscreen capture 20191207 164012

images

Fullscreen capture 20191207 163017Fullscreen capture 20191207 161944Fullscreen capture 20191207 162244Fullscreen capture 20191207 162545Fullscreen capture 20191207 162814On the one hand, the District Attorney and the Deputy District Attorney are the authorities closest to the case, so we’d expect thought leadership and clarity from them. Basically what they believe must be true. That same appeal to authority applies to CBI agent Tammy Lee. And yet invariably all three agree with the same faulty premise. Because the second version is worse, it must true.

There’s a very obvious problem with this premise, and it’s this:

There’s a third version that’s even worse than the second. Does that mean that premise is true? The DA and the agent – and the documentary – don’t even mention Watts’ version to Cadle.

We can also see how in Watts First Confession, where he said Shan’ann killed the kids and so he killed Shan’annn [a false idea deliberately offered to Watts by the investigators themselves] was a step closer to the truth, but also not true. It was true Watts had killed Shan’ann, but not true that she’d killed the children. And yet this same psychology of deception holds for how the interrogators got their pound of truth from Watts. They tempted him to give a little bit of truth by giving him “permission” to lie about – to minimize – his involvement. Stay with me here because it gets a little convoluted here. Watts is incentivized to take the bait because he is at least let off the hook of the child murders. But in taking the bait, he also admits the truth – the worse truth – that he killed Shan’ann.

If the psychology of “worse version trumps all” holds, then surely the worst version of all in terms of a global view of this case would be Shan’ann killing her own children, and then Watts killing her.

We must also bear in mind the same methodology of the First Confession was also used in the Second, which was to lead people-pleaser-Watts down the Yellow Brick Road of the confession. Coder – not interviewed here – did that.

What happened next, did this happen or that. That? Okay, what about this. Oh…

Significantly Watts didn’t volunteer his confession in either case [except he did in the Third Confession to Cadle] he was led to it. And he gave the version he thought his interrogators believed anyway. He gave the version, worse than the previous version, but still the minimal version he could get away with telling. What did he get in exchange? He was let off the hook in having to talk about it, first in terms of an even longer interrogation, then a trial, then more interrogation.

There is a worse version than the Second Version, by the way. The Second Version – an almost random, impulsive killing at the well site – is worse than the first, but it’s also better than the second. Why? Because the second version strips away the premeditation. A premeditated murder is an aggravated crime, it is criminal intent with deliberation. When this occurs a sentence is often the maximum sentence – as it was in this case.

Watts agreed in his plea deal to charges that included the words with deliberation [including of both children]. And yet his Second Confession, the one the prosecutors and agent now seem to say they accept, walks back that deliberation.

Fullscreen capture 20191207 184204

TCRS has exhaustively covered – and ridiculed – Watts bogus notions in the Second Confession that he alternatively “just snapped” and that he committed the crime “in a rage” without thinking. In fact TCRS predicted the “just snapped” minimization months before Watts came up with it.

“Chris Watts Just Snapped” – October 4th, 2018

The DA accepted his version of a cold, calculated murder and so did Watts. That’s why he signed the plea deal and didn’t object to this version mentioned during the sentencing on November 19th, 2018. Watts – in his last version [written in April 2019 and published in October 2019] – has also admitted he’d premeditated the murder for weeks, and made one or more attempts to poison Shan’ann to bring about a miscarriage.

So why would the DA and CBI Agent Tammy Lee go back on their own version, the one fielded in court?

To soothe popular opinion?

To engage popular opinion?

Maybe. Maybe one. Maybe both. Or maybe there is an even simpler meat-and-potatoes mindfuckery going on. It’s known as the appeal to ignorance, a very powerful and successful way of bullshitting the mainstream in the modern era. A bunch of YouTube channels thrive on this run-of-the-mill fallacy, as do MLMs. Evil, deception and dishonesty thrives in a culture of ignorance. And like or or not, in spite of or perhaps because of the information era, we live in a culture of ignorance.

Fullscreen capture 20191207 172153

Further Reading:

Chris Watts describes the reason he killed Shan’ann Watts: “I just snapped” [AUDIO Part 1+2] – March 2019

Chris Watts explains what made him snap – June 2019

“Like, he snapped” – Chris Watts Special Coming Soon on HLN – July, 2019

If there’s an innocent reason the authorities closest to this case believe what they do [and I’m not convinced there is, but who knows] it may be due to their being so close to the case that they’ve become emotionally compromised. We know that’s happened to the lead detective. Has it happened to anyone else. Have you been so afflicted by it you haven’t been able to think logically or scientifically about it?

images (2)

Fullscreen capture 20191207 163251Fullscreen capture 20191207 163136Fullscreen capture 20191207 163153

Original Article:

Chris Watts case investigators are still reeling: ‘How does this happen?’ – NBC

Now, remember that saying by Twain?

“A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes.”

It’s also been attributed to Churchill, Thomas Jefferson, Ann Landers and others. The quote itself isn’t even authentic, but derived from something similar written by Jonathan Swift [Irish poet, and author of Gulliver’s Travels]:

Falsehood flies, and truth comes limping after it.

Perhaps that’s why there are so many ums and TCRS is accused of being slow to get to the point. The truth takes time, it’s subtle, and complicated, and sensitive to distortions, misreadings and derivations. But coming back to Watts, think about the psychology of his storytelling. This idea that if something is worse it must be true, and we should accept it.

Now connect that psychology to the psychopathology of this crime. Connect that psychology of fear to the psychology of the introvert who wants to be well thought of, including in the context of a crime, including by his interrogators.

Chris Watts committed murder because he believed the pregnancy and divorce was “worse than I thought committing murders would be”, so I’d rather do that.

Makes sense now, doesn’t it?

Fullscreen capture 20191207 163621

Experts: “This Was Chris Watts Motive For Killing His Entire Family…”

Do you agree?

The expert waffles on here a little about separation, and the psychology of separation. Do you think that’s why Watts committed the crime? Because of a psychology of separation?

As so often happens in true crime documentaries, the title of the documentary is about how the motive is revealed for the first time. Then, when you watch the documentary, it’s all about how nobody knows why, nobody can say why, and it’s all still a mystery. Which means the producers have duped you.

What do you think of a domestic violence expert commenting on the Chris Watts case?

Analysis coming soon on TCRS Patreon.

« Older posts Newer posts »